2. DEMOGRAPHY
2.1. TOTAL POPULATION
The City of San Jose del Monte, Bulacan experienced a 3.64% population growth, or an additional population of 138, 746 persons from the year 2000 compared to the latest census in 2010. This rapid growth can be observed in the increasing population from a majority of the barangays in the City. Should the City observed the same growth trends, in 30 years, the city’s population would increase by roughly 1.9 million people.
2.1.1 Barangay Population
Among the most populated Barangays in the city is Muzon with a total of 81,947 (2010) inhabitants or approximately 18% of the city’s total population during the census year. Interestingly Muzon, with 5.56% Annual Average Growth Rate (AAGR) in 200-2010, does not maintain the highest population in the city. Based on the population projections, this Barangay’s population will be exceeded by Minuyan Proper (19.29% AAGR), by the year 2018.
The SJDM’s total population from census years 2000 and 2010 are presented in Table 2-1, together with five (5) year interval projections calculated by the exponential growth method, using barangay AAGR from 2000-2010 census years.
Table 2-1 Total Population by Barangay (2000-2025)
2000 | 2010 | 2015 | 2020 | 2025 | |
City of San Jose del Monte | 315,807 | 454,553 | 543,528 | 649,918 | 777,133 |
Assumption | 2,050 | 4,291 | 6,126 | 8,746 | 12,428 |
Bagong Buhay I | 5,621 | 6,698 | 7,305 | 7,967 | 8,690 |
Bagong Buhay II | 3,521 | 4,009 | 4,276 | 4,562 | 4,865 |
Bagong Buhay III | 3,903 | 5,388 | 6,313 | 7,397 | 8,668 |
Citrus | 13,066 | 20,882 | 26,260 | 33,024 | 41,521 |
Ciudad Real | 1,935 | 2,338 | 2,567 | 2,819 | 3,096 |
Dulong Bayan | 5,440 | 6,292 | 6,762 | 7,226 | 7,810 |
Fatima I | 5,242 | 5,815 | 6,124 | 6,449 | 6,790 |
Fatima II | 9,263 | 10,453 | 11,101 | 11,789 | 12,518 |
Fatima III | 5,425 | 6,917 | 7,799 | 8,794 | 9,915 |
Fatima IV | 2,875 | 3,167 | 3,324 | 3,488 | 3,660 |
Fatima V | 2,850 | 3,070 | 3,185 | 3,305 | 3,430 |
Francisco Homes- Guijo | 1,785 | 1,707 | 1,669 | 1,632 | 1,596 |
Francisco Homes- Mulawin | 1,461 | 1,650 | 1,753 | 1,863 | 1,979 |
Francisco Homes-Narra | 1,837 | 1,974 | 2,046 | 2,121 | 2,198 |
Francisco Homes-Yakal | 2,029 | 2,407 | 2,620 | 2,852 | 3,104 |
Gaya-gaya | 7,148 | 13,727 | 18,825 | 25,816 | 35,406 |
Graceville | 22,671 | 28,563 | 32,018 | 35,891 | 40,230 |
Gumaoc Central | 2,704 | 3,392 | 3,795 | 4,246 | 4,749 |
Gumaoc East | 3,854 | 4,533 | 4,912 | 5,323 | 5,769 |
Gumaoc West | 5,288 | 6,915 | 7,893 | 9,008 | 10,283 |
Kaybanban | 1,000 | 2,371 | 3,587 | 5,425 | 8,206 |
Kaypian | 18,530 | 25,614 | 30,041 | 35,234 | 41,315 |
Lawang Pare | 3,264 | 3,949 | 4,339 | 4,767 | 5,238 |
Maharlika | 2,793 | 3,127 | 3,308 | 3,499 | 3,701 |
Minuyan I | 3,079 | 2,861 | 2,758 | 2,659 | 2,563 |
Minuyan II | 4,532 | 5,360 | 5,826 | 6,332 | 6,881 |
Minuyan III | 2,327 | 2,703 | 2,912 | 3,137 | 3,379 |
Minuyan IV | 3,492 | 3,979 | 4,244 | 4,528 | 4,831 |
Minuyan Proper | 4,928 | 33,928 | 81,971 | 197,804 | 477,659 |
Minuyan V | 2,535 | 2,215 | 2,069 | 1,934 | 1,807 |
Muzon | 47,010 | 81,947 | 107,355 | 140,642 | 184,285 |
Paradise III | 2,186 | 3,420 | 4,256 | 5,296 | 6,591 |
Poblacion | 1,886 | 2,118 | 2,244 | 2,377 | 2,518 |
Poblacion I | 2,882 | 4,254 | 5,148 | 6,231 | 7,541 |
San Isidro | 1,811 | 2,370 | 2,706 | 3,091 | 3,529 |
San Manuel | 8,107 | 12,241 | 14,979 | 18,330 | 22,428 |
San Martin I | 3,207 | 3,757 | 4,063 | 4,395 | 4,753 |
San Martin II | 2,771 | 3,336 | 3,656 | 4,007 | 4,393 |
San Martin III | 2,609 | 3,041 | 3,281 | 3,540 | 3,819 |
San Martin IV | 2,939 | 3,592 | 3,968 | 4,383 | 4,840 |
San Pedro | 12,096 | 13,866 | 14, 835 | 15,871 | 16,985 |
San Rafael I | 3,457 | 3,107 | 2,944 | 2,790 | 2,644 |
San Rafael II | 3,112 | 2,908 | 2,810 | 2,716 | 2,625 |
San Rafael III | 5,308 | 5,257 | 5,231 | 5,205 | 5,180 |
San Rafael IV | 6,080 | 7,782 | 8,792 | 9,933 | 11,219 |
San Rafael V | 2,544 | 2,807 | 2,947 | 3,095 | 3,250 |
San Roque | 1,643 | 1,617 | 1,607 | 1,594 | 1,581 |
Sapang Palay Proper | 3,576 | 4,894 | 5,712 | 6,667 | 7,780 |
San Martin de Porres | 2,363 | 2,227 | 2,162 | 2,099 | 2,038 |
Sta. Cruz I | 2,997 | 2,711 | 2,578 | 2,452 | 2,331 |
Sta. Cruz II | 2,798 | 3,078 | 3,227 | 3,383 | 3,548 |
Sta. Cruz III | 2,058 | 2,440 | 2,655 | 2,888 | 3,142 |
Sta. Cruz IV | 2,623 | 3,011 | 3,225 | 3,453 | 3,698 |
Sta. Cruz V | 3,128 | 3,500 | 3,700 | 3,912 | 4,137 |
Sto. Cristo | 17,840 | 29,327 | 37,376 | 47,634 | 60,702 |
Sto. Niño | 2,807 | 2,582 | 2,475 | 2,373 | 2,276 |
Sto. Niño II | 3,424 | 2,808 | 2,541 | 2,299 | 2,080 |
Tungkong Mangga | 6,097 | 10,260 | 13,220 | 17,034 | 21,949 |
Source: NSO Census of Population and Housing 2010
Of particular interest are the Barangays with the highest and lowest population values in the projected population. Table 2-2 in the next page enumerates the barangay names and respective population for the years 2015, 2020, and 2025.
Table 2-2 Highest and Lowest Population by Barangay
BARANGAYS WITH HIGHEST POPULATION |
2015 | 2020 | 2025 |
Population | Population | Population | |||
Muzon | 107,355 | Minuyan Proper | 197,804 | Minuyan Proper | 477, 659 |
Minuyan Proper | 81,921 | Muzon | 140,642 | Muzon | 184,285 |
Sto. Cristo | 37,376 | Sto. Cristo | 47,634 | Sto. Cristo | 60,702 |
Graceville | 32,018 | Graceville | 35,891 | Graceville | 41,521 |
Kaypian | 30,041 | Kaypian | 35,234 | Kaypian | 41,521 |
Citrus | 26,260 | Citrus | 33,024 | Citrus | 40,230 |
Gaya-gaya | 18,825 | Gaya-gaya | 25,816 | Gaya-gaya | 35,406 |
San Manuel | 14,979 | San Manuel | 18,330 | San Manuel | 22,428 |
San Pedro | 14,835 | Tungkong Mangga | 17,034 | Tungkong Mangga | 21,949 |
Tungkong Mangga | 13,220 | San Pedro | 15,871 | San Pedro | 16,986 |
BARANGAYS WITH LOWEST POPULATION |
2015 | 2020 | 2025 |
Population | Population | Population | |||
San Roque | 1,607 | San Roque | 1,594 | San Roque | 1,581 |
Fatima II | 1,669 | Fatima II | 1,632 | Fatima II | 1,596 |
Fatima III | 1,753 | Fatima III | 1,863 | Minuyan V | 1,807 |
Fatima IV | 2,046 | Minuyan V | 1,934 | Fatima III | 1,979 |
Minuyan V | 2,069 | St. Martin de Porres | 2,099 | St. Martin de Porres | 2,038 |
St. Martin de Porres | 2,162 | Fatima IV | 2,121 | Sto. Niño II | 2,080 |
Poblacion | 2,244 | Sto. Niño II | 2,299 | Fatima IV | 2,198 |
Sto. Niño I | 2,475 | Sto. Niño I | 2,373 | Sto. Niño I | 2,276 |
Sto. Niño II | 2,541 | Poblacion | 2,377 | Sta. Cruz I | 2,331 |
Ciudad Real | 2,567 | Sta. Cruz I | 2,452 | Poblacion | 2,581 |
By 2015, Muzon will still be the most populated barangay in the city; however, Minuyan Proper would overtake the population of the former by the year 2020. Another barangay of interest in terms of population growth is Citrus, which is projected to have 41,521 inhabitants in 2065 from 26,260 ten years before. Also noticeable is that the projected population of the city will be concentrated in a handful of barangays namely Minuyan Proper, Muzon, Sto. Cristo and Citrus. This may pose negative implications in the distribution of goods and services in the city, should growth remain unmanaged. On the other hand, barangays with low population values are more closely ranged.
2.1.2. Age-Sex Population
San Jose del Monte generally has a young population with a medium age of 23.5 years old. This is higher than the recorded 2007 city median age of 21.7. However, note that the city’s median age is lower compared to the provincial median age of 24.8 years old in 2010. While the sex ratio for the city in the latest Census year is 99.8; this means there are approximately 100 males for every 100 females in the population (table 2-3).
The age structure of the City of San Jose del Monte embodies the role as the provider of human resources to the adjacent Metropolis. Based on the figure below (Figure 2-2) more than half of the population or 63% belongs to the productive age group which is 15-64 years. The high proportions of the young and productive population translate to high demand for social services such as employment, social welfare, housing, school health, etc.
The total dependency ratio in the city is 58% with a young dependency ratio of 53% age 15 years old and below (table 2-4) , and 5% dependency ratio for the elderly population. Further, there are more young dependent males than females in contrast with the elderly with more females.
Table 2-4 Dependency Ratios
SEX RATIO AND PROPORTION BY BROAD AGE GROUP |
Both Sexes Male Female |
Children – Age – 0-14 100 52 48 |
Adulet – Age 15-64 99 49 50 |
Old-Old 65 age and over 100 39 61 |
WORKING/DEPENDENTS AGE GROUP |
Both Sexes Male Female |
Total 454,263 226,886 227,377 |
Young dependents (0-14 years old) 151,786 78,234 73,552 |
Working Age (15-64 years old) 287,850 142,902 144,948 |
Old dependents(65 years old and over) 14,627 5,750 8,877 |
DEPENDENCY RATIO |
Both Sexes Male Female
(in %) (in %) (in %) |
Young dependents (0-14 years old) 53 55 51 |
Old dependents (65 years old and over) 5 4 6 |
Overall dependency Ratio 58 59 57 |
OTHER AGE GROUPS |
Both Sexes Male Female |
Senior Citizen(60 years old and over) 24,496 10,292 14,204 |
School Age Population(5-24 years old) 188,666 96,052 92,613 |
Reproductive women(15-49 years old) 244,266 121,589 122,677 |
Source: NSO Census of Population and housing 2010
The voting age population comprises 56% of the total city population, with 96 males for every 100 females within the voting age. This shows there are more females within the voting age population than males (Table 2-5).
Table 2-5 voting Age Population
Ratio
Total Male Female (in %) |
Voting Age Population 255,479 124,835 130,644 56 |
Non-Voting Age 198,784 102,051 96,733 44 |
Total 244,266 226,886 277,377 100 |
Source: NSO Census of Population and Housing 2010